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Banks get better capitalised, but shareholder returns face dilution

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Banks get better capitalised, but shareholder returns face dilution

Continued credit growth and planned capital raising are likely to increase equity levels and reduce leverage, putting pressure on RoE. Sustaining current returns will therefore require banks to improve return on assets (RoA).

Median CET-1 rose 97 bps to 16.4% and CAR increased 61 bps to 18.2%, strengthening banks’ capital buffers. PSBs continued to report higher RoE at 14.15% versus 12.20% for PVBs, although the gap narrowed to around 195 bps from 270 bps a year earlier. Four large PSBs have announced capital-raising plans exceeding Rs 80,000 crore, while regulatory changes have shifted the capital mix towards the core layer. Fading provisioning benefits will put the focus on margins and core income, with SCB RoA expected to remain range-bound at 1.25%-1.35% through FY27.

Banks are strengthening their capital buffers even as shareholder returns face pressure from rising equity levels and lower leverage, with continued credit growth and planned capital raising likely to dilute returns in the near term. 2%, leaving both comfortably above regulatory requirements. 9% in Q1FY27, but returns have not kept pace with the build-up in capital. Continued credit growth and planned capital raising are likely to increase equity levels and reduce leverage, putting pressure on RoE. Sustaining current returns will therefore require banks to improve return on assets (RoA).



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