Last week, I attended a talk at MIT by Neil Thompson, who studies progress in computing and artificial intelligence. Over the course of just half an hour, Thompson made a convincing case that several scientific fields are about to be upended by AI.
As mathematicians reel from the way AI is automating their field, Thompson’s latest study suggests that probability, statistics theory, economic theory, high-energy theory, gravitation and cosmology, and quantum physics may be next, thanks to the rapidly evolving capabilities of frontier models. Between mid-2024 and mid-2026, the study shows, the best AI models went from being able to correctly solve about 2 percent of theoretical problems in these fields to about 35 percent of such problems. And there are no signs that this progress will slow down.
“Within just a few years, we expect a lot of theory questions to be totally transformed in terms of AI's ability to do them,” says Thompson.
Broadly, Thompson’s lab digs into how advances in computer science impact society and affect innovation. This study—which Thompson conducted alongside Gabriel Manso, a PhD student, and Claudio Mayrink Verdun, a research scientist—took problems stated in research papers posted online between December 2025 and May 2026, and then tested whether different OpenAI models—o1, o3, GPT-5, GPT-5.1, GPT-5.4, and GPT-5.5—could solve them.
5 and preceding models. This means that the models they tested had to work out solutions for themselves, rather than relying on answers fed in as training data. ) The researchers also blocked internet access, which prevented the models they tested from looking up solutions online.
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