Anthropic’s draft bill would let the federal government block a frontier AI model only on a foreseeable, imminent risk of more than $1 billion in damage or more than 50 deaths or serious injuries.
The draft sets no lower tier, so a risk to 10 people or $200 million in losses would trigger no federal action, and it gives regulators no method for putting a dollar figure on an attack before it happens.
AI-enabled breaches averaged $6 million each in IBM’s 2026 study, and those losses add up across thousands of incidents without any single one crossing the $1 billion line.
An artificial intelligence model could pose a foreseeable risk of $900 million in damage and still miss the bar for federal intervention under draft legislation Anthropic has been pitching to lawmakers, PYMNTS reported. The Claude developer’s draft lets the government block a frontier model only when it poses a foreseeable, imminent risk of more than $1 billion in damage or of killing or seriously injuring more than 50 people. The harm must come from a biological weapon, a cyberattack or a model that escapes its developer’s controls.
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Anthropic wants the Commerce Department to run the process. But the shutdown decision rests with the court. S. District Court for the District of Columbia that a model presents a foreseeable, imminent catastrophic risk. Only then could the judge order a suspension.
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