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Ethereum’s proposed 3x ETF could reach CME’s futures threshold with just $362 million

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Ethereum’s proposed 3x ETF could reach CME’s futures threshold with just $362 million

At ETHU's Oct. 6 disclosed futures valuation, a 3x Ethereum ETF with $362.1 million in assets would target about $1.09 billion of exposure. If held entirely in standard CME Ether futures, that would equal 8,000 contracts, CME's single-month and all-month accountability level.

The SEC approved Cboe BZX's rule change to list Volatility Shares' proposed ETHK on Oct. 2; ETHK's first trading date is pending. The sponsor's live fund shows that Volatility Shares' existing ETHU held 19,204 October CME Ether futures contracts worth $2.61 billion as of Oct. 6, against $1.31 billion of net assets as of Oct. 5.

Those holdings imply $135,800 of notional per contract, which puts 8,000 contracts at $1.0864 billion. A fund targeting three times daily exposure needs one-third of that in assets, or about $362.1 million. ETHU's position already stands at 2.40 times the 8,000-contract level.

CME cut its single-month and all-month Ethereum futures accountability level to an aggregated 8,000 standard contracts effective March 2.

An accountability level is a threshold, and participants can hold positions above it, as ETHU does. CME Market Regulation can request information about the position under Rule 560, including below the 8,000-contract level.

CME's rules also let it order a participant to stop adding to a position or reduce it when needed to maintain an orderly market.

If ETHK holds its full target exposure in standard CME Ether futures, its contract equivalent equals its assets times three divided by $135,800: about 2,209 contracts at $100 million of assets, 11,046 at $500 million, and 22,091 at $1 billion.


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