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Bitcoin’s spot-demand signal is improving. A bigger futures slump is drowning it out

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Bitcoin’s spot-demand signal is improving. A bigger futures slump is drowning it out

Both demand components remain negative, leaving Bitcoin’s tentative stabilization dependent on persistent spot improvement and easing futures weakness.

Bitcoin’s improving spot-demand signal is losing ground to a sharper deterioration in perpetual futures. With the price near $73,000, that split leaves its attempted recovery vulnerable ahead of Friday’s US producer-inflation release.

Bitcoin traded around $73,478 at about 10:40 UTC on November 12. A Coinbase quote one minute earlier was about $73,469.

In a November 11 CryptoQuant note, analyst RugaResearch put the combined 30-day spot-and-perpetual demand estimate at negative 348,000 BTC on November 10, its weakest reading that month.

From November 7 to November 10, the spot proxy improved by approximately 29,500 BTC. The perpetual-futures estimate deteriorated by about 63,500 BTC over the same period. Both components remained below zero, leaving the improvement short of positive readings.

RugaResearch’s November 10 snapshot shows opposing three-day changes inside a still-negative 30-day demand estimate.

Perpetual deterioration was more than twice the spot improvement; both component levels remained negative.

Analyst proxy, not executed purchases or capital flows. Both component levels remained negative. Exact formula, venue coverage and absolute component levels are not disclosed. Each rolling reading adds a day and drops the oldest.

Reported approximate changes from November 7 to 10. Desktop arrow lengths use 1 pixel per 200 BTC; mobile uses 1 pixel per 500 BTC. Signed changes share a zero-change reference within each view. The combined level is a separate reported figure; no net-change calculation or component baseline is inferred.


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