Early election night results for the 2026 midterms suggest a strong showing for the Democrats, and that’s putting it mildly. It’s only 9:30 p.m. ET as of this writing, and the path to victory in the House for the Republicans looks impossible. In the Senate, their odds are vanishing. The idea that some of the states still currently on the board for the Democrats—like South Carolina and Texas—would be up for grabs tonight would have sounded like the deluded fantasy of your MS NOW-addled grandma on election night in 2024. But here we are.
And that makes it a good time to remember that Elon Musk paid an estimated $474 million for these results. He is the largest single donor in these midterms (whose activities are known to the public).
According to the New York Times, who investigated Musk’s financing on political causes during this election cycle, Musk donated, for instance, $168 million to a GOP Senate super PAC called the Senate Leadership Fund. “Almost all” of that $168 million went to support Republican Ken Paxton’s Senate effort, the Times says. He also reportedly gave $10 million to the Paxton-specific Lone Star Liberty PAC.
While there’s still a conceivable universe where Paxton could win and become junior Senator in Musk’s home state, Paxton’s opponent James Talarico’s lead was downright authoritative as of this writing. If Talarico wins, he’ll be the first Democrat Senator from Texas in almost four decades.
To be absolutely clear , Musk’s buyer’s remorse probably hasn’t kicked in yet.
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