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Midterm Vote Preferences by Race and Ethnicity, Age and Other Demographics

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Midterm Vote Preferences by Race and Ethnicity, Age and Other Demographics

This is part of a larger report on the attitudes and dynamics shaping the 2026 midterm elections.

With several weeks to go until Election Day, Americans who are registered to vote favor Democrats over Republicans in the national race for the House of Representatives by an 8 percentage point margin (44% to 36%). About two-in-ten registered voters say they would vote for a third-party candidate or are not sure.

This analysis is among all registered voters – many of whom will not turn out in this November’s midterm elections. For example, 46% of those eligible voted in the 2022 midterm elections.

While those who turn out in elections often differ from those who do not, including in their vote choice, the ways groups of voters overall view the choice illustrate wide – and familiar – differences in voting preferences by gender, race, education, age and political party.

Men are evenly divided: 42% say they would vote for the Democratic candidate in their district, and 42% say they would vote for the Republican.

Women support Democratic candidates by a 14-point margin, 45% vs. 31% for Republicans.

Among Hispanic voters, Democratic candidates hold a 51% to 24% advantage. A quarter of Hispanic voters say they would support another candidate or are not sure.

In the 2024 presidential election, Hispanic voters were nearly evenly split in their vote preference. But in previous midterm and presidential elections over the past two decades, they have supported Democrats by considerable margins.


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